Trading journal — 2026-06-15

Morning plan

Pre-market as of 06:30 ET — 2026-06-15 | paper mode

Account: equity $101,378 | cash $80,265 | 4 open positions (AMCR +12.5%, CIEN +6.2%, FSLR +5.6%, TJX +6.0%) | not halted

Screen result: 0 qualifying trades

25 names appeared on the gapper screen. Overall market tone is constructive (Trump-Iran deal announced overnight, SpaceX IPO euphoria, MU pre-earnings analyst upgrades lifting semis), but no S&P 500 name passed all strategy filters.

Gapper elimination log:

Symbol	Gap%	Rel-Vol	Filter hit
KLAC	−89.5%	5.01×	Data anomaly — prev_close $2,411→$253; almost certainly a split artifact
SATS	−10.9%	5.46×	No identifiable catalyst in news (earnings/M&A/guidance/analyst)
LEN	−5.16%	2.70×	Confirmed earnings catalyst (Q2 transcript), but gap DOWN + long-only constraint
ADBE	−6.55%	3.04×	above_200sma=false → mean-reversion long N/A; no named catalyst
PTC	−3.85%	2.80×	above_200sma=false → mean-reversion long N/A
MOS	+7.46%	1.70×	No company-specific catalyst; macro commodity tailwind only
ALB	+7.19%	1.90×	No company-specific catalyst
INTC	+6.48%	1.54×	Sector tailwind (MU pre-earnings + Iran deal); no INTC-specific catalyst
STX, WDC, COHR, TER, AMD, SNDK, ANET, QCOM, CHTR, SMCI, TKO, DPZ, STZ, APP, GEV	+3.7–7.6%	<1.5×	Rel-volume below 1.5× threshold
CVNA	−5.58%	1.34×	Rel-volume below 1.5×
FOX	−3.98%	1.73×	Gap DOWN + long-only; rsi2=8.6 above <5 mean-reversion trigger

Macro context: Broad semi/tech names (INTC, AMD, COHR, ANET, QCOM) all up 4–7% on sector tailwind — MU's June 24 earnings setup + Iran deal risk-on. Per learned.md heuristic (validated 2026-05-13 and 2026-06-09): do not soften the "identifiable catalyst" filter on high-FOMO macro days; differentiation by sub-sector does not protect entry-day correlation.

Plan: no new entries today. Open routine should manage existing positions (AMCR, CIEN, FSLR, TJX) per their strategy exit rules — watch for any that may be hitting 3-day hold limits.

Executed trades

Executed trades: no plan

Mid-day notes

Status (12:30 ET): Not halted. CLI blocked — python -m svidday.cli status requires manual approval (recurring issue; see learned.md). Live prices and drawdown unavailable; assessment based on morning brief and strategy rules.

Drawdown headroom: Stale snapshot (positions.json) shows 0.164% of 2% daily limit used; all 4 positions are in profit so today's drawdown is likely near zero. No aggressive-close trigger.

Position decisions — all four are past strategy hold limits:

Symbol	Morning P&L	Decision	Reason
AMCR	+12.5%	CLOSE	Entered ~2026-06-03; flagged "must close at 2026-06-09 open" in 2026-06-08 post-close; 8+ trading days held past 3-day out-of-scope threshold. Well past 2R target. No active thesis for continued holding.
CIEN	+6.2%	CLOSE	Entered 2026-06-10 (2-day mean-reversion, close by 2026-06-11 EOD); today is day 4. Thesis exhausted.
FSLR	+5.6%	CLOSE	Entered 2026-06-10 (2-day mean-reversion, close by 2026-06-11 EOD); today is day 4. Thesis exhausted.
TJX	+6.0%	CLOSE	Same vintage as AMCR; past 3-day out-of-scope threshold for 6+ sessions. No active thesis for continued holding.

CLI blocked — all closes are MANDATORY HUMAN ACTIONS before end of session:

python -m svidday.cli close-position AMCR
python -m svidday.cli close-position CIEN
python -m svidday.cli close-position FSLR
python -m svidday.cli close-position TJX

Drawdown headroom remaining: ~0.16% of 2.0% daily cap used (91.8% headroom) per last known snapshot — well clear of the 75% aggressive-close threshold.

Post-close review

No new entries. The pre-market screen correctly returned 0 qualifying trades on a high-FOMO macro day (Trump-Iran deal + SpaceX IPO euphoria + MU pre-earnings semi tailwind). 25 candidates appeared; none passed all strategy filters. This is the third consecutive macro-FOMO day where the catalyst filter has correctly eliminated the entire sector sweep (prior: 2026-05-13 chip-restriction selloff, 2026-06-09 ceasefire rally).

Open positions — all past mandatory close dates:

Symbol	Sessions past limit	Morning unrealized P&L	Close executed?	Verdict
AMCR	8+ sessions	+12.5%	Unconfirmed (CLI blocked)	Strategy win, execution failure. Flagged for close since 2026-06-08. Mandatory human close at 2026-06-16 open.
CIEN	2 sessions	+6.2%	Unconfirmed (CLI blocked)	2-day mean-reversion worked cleanly; exit delayed by CLI block. Mandatory human close at 2026-06-16 open.
FSLR	2 sessions	+5.6%	Unconfirmed (CLI blocked)	Same vintage as CIEN, same situation. Mandatory human close at 2026-06-16 open.
TJX	6+ sessions	+6.0%	Unconfirmed (CLI blocked)	Same vintage as AMCR, similarly overdue. Mandatory human close at 2026-06-16 open.

Today's net P&L: Cannot confirm. python -m svidday.cli report blocked by permission prompt; state/equity_curve.csv not updated. Morning account equity was $101,378. All four positions were in profit at the morning snapshot — if closes execute Monday at similar prices, realized gains across all four will be positive.

Cumulative alpha vs SPY: Unknown. equity_curve.csv contains only one row (2026-06-03, cumulative_alpha = 0.000). Benchmark comparison has been blind since the initial scaffold — CLI permission block is the root cause.

Strategy validation: The gapper screen's catalyst filter performed correctly. No strategy rules were violated on the new-entry side. The violations are all on the exit side: four simultaneous positions past mandatory close dates, none confirmed executed.

Lessons